Around 20.5 million Canadians visited the United States in 2023, according to the latest available figures. Those numbers will be way down in 2025, according to OAG, who’ve been analyzing travel data since 1929. Outside of wars or the pandemic, they’ve never seen anything this dramatic before.
“This is insane. We are treating our Canadian neighbors like absolute shit,” tweeted Rep. Eric Swalwell in response to the lower numbers.
Source: OAG
Despite airline schedule changes and capacity being redirected to other markets, a more troubling trend emerges from forward demand data: future flight bookings between Canada and the US have collapsed.
Using forward booking data from a major GDS supplier, we’ve compared the total bookings held at this point last year with those recorded this week for the upcoming summer season. The decline is striking — bookings are down by over 70% in every month through to the end of September. This sharp drop suggests that travellers are holding off on making reservations, likely due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the broader trade dispute.
